The Washington PostDemocracy Dies in Darkness

Non-incumbent Democratic women were the biggest winners in the midterms. Republican women? Not so much.

These graphs tell the story

Analysis by
December 6, 2018 at 10:49 a.m. EST

Adapted from a story by The Washington Post’s Philip Bump.

For the Republican Party, at least one thing has become clear in the wake of the midterms: Women didn’t do well in their elections. According to data compiled by Kelly Dittmar of Rutgers University’s Center for American Women and Politics, only a quarter of Republican women running in the general election won.

Compared with Democrats, that’s stark: Overall, just under 50 percent of Democratic women won their bids.

But those figures include incumbents. Exclude incumbents and the gap between the parties widens. A little over a quarter of non-incumbent Democratic women won — and 3 percent of non-incumbent Republican women did.

Democratic women had the highest win percentage among non-incumbents of the four party-gender groups.

In fact, nearly 6 in 10 non-incumbent Democrats who won were women. Three percent of Republican non-incumbent winners were women.

We’ve looked at this before, but it bears mentioning again: The vast majority of Republicans elected to the House in 2018 were white men.

In the Senate, both of the non-incumbent Democratic winners were women.

Among gubernatorial candidates, women made up about as much a percentage of the non-incumbent pool of winners as the overall pool.

But, again, notice how much more heavily female the Democratic winners were than the Republican ones. Again, that disparity pales next to the gap in the House.

Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) announced that she planned to create a political action committee that would focus on recruiting Republican women to run for office. The Republican Party’s campaign arm seems less than thrilled about the idea, but Stefanik is unfazed.

“We need to support those women earlier and learn the lessons of how effective the other side was in getting women through these competitive primaries,” Stefanik told Roll Call.

Republican women in the House are facing a crisis — their party is mostly men

That, however, doesn’t address another problem: The shift among women, particularly white college-educated women, toward Democratic candidates. Perhaps having more women on the ballot will help reverse that trend. Or, perhaps, the Republican problem with women this year ran deeper than the candidates who were on the ballot.